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N1 Partners x RAZE Case: ROI+ in Canada within 3 Days

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Gambling traffic in Tier-1 markets rarely forgives mistakes. Especially when it comes to Facebook, where CPM costs are high, auction volatility is significant, and testing is expensive.

This was exactly the challenge the RAZE team faced when entering the Canadian market together with N1 Partners in spring 2026. The goal of the campaign was not just volume — the team needed to find a setup capable of maintaining FTD quality, preserving ROI, and scaling in one of the most expensive iGaming GEOs on the market.

In this case study, N1 Partners and RAZE will explain:

  • why only 2 out of 10 tested slots remained profitable;
  • how the acquisition strategy for Tier-1 Facebook was built;
  • how the N1 Partners funnel influenced conversion rates;
  • and what helped maintain ROI during scaling.

Initial Data

GEO: Canada

Vertical: Gambling (iGaming)

Traffic type: Facebook (PWA) 

Campaign period: April, 20 – May, 8 

Goal: FTD + ROI

Volume (FTD): ~300 deposits

N1 Partners brands: N1 Bet, RollXO, Slot Lounge, Slot Mafia, Lucky Hunter, Retro Bet и Goldex Casino

N1 Partners comment: At the start, we decided not to limit ourselves to a single brand and tested seven brands simultaneously to identify combinations with the highest conversion rates and profitability for the RAZE team’s approach. This allowed us to collect a larger data sample and thoroughly analyse traffic behaviour across our brands.

The main challenge remained traffic quality. In Tier-1 GEOs, generating deposits alone is not enough — it is crucial to understand how traffic performs over time and how players behave after making their first deposit.

Additionally, RAZE had limited historical data on running N1 offers in Canada, which created uncertainty regarding which approach, slot, and “creative + funnel” combination would deliver the best projected ROI.

Why Canada?

Canada was chosen as one of the most stable Tier-1 GEOs for the gambling vertical due to its highly solvent audience, large Facebook traffic volume, and consistent demand within the niche.

Another factor was the state of the Facebook auction. During the campaign period, competition in Canada was lower than in several other English-speaking GEOs, allowing for more comfortable CPMs and faster scaling of successful setups.

However, along with volume came the primary Tier-1 challenge — the high cost of mistakes. As a result, the team deliberately avoided a single-offer strategy and opted for broad testing instead.

RAZE Strategy

Facebook PWA is the core traffic source and key media-buying specialization for the RAZE team.

To begin, the team requested a list of top-performing slots for Canada from N1 Partners and analyzed them using spy tools: which approaches were already active in the auction, what mechanics competitors were using, and which creatives were generating the highest CTR.

N1 Partners comment: Along with a list of top-performing slots, the RAZE team received recommendations regarding Canadian audience specifics, target metrics, and minimum data thresholds required to evaluate traffic quality from N1 Partners. This enabled RAZE to build tests based on advertiser-focused metrics rather than operating blindly.

A custom funnel featuring N1 Partners bonuses was also created.

At the same time, three optimisation models were launched:

  • Auto Bid
  • Min CPA Cap (when triggered, budgets were aggressively scaled up to ~$10,000+ for optimal delivery)
  • Max Bid

The primary goal was to quickly determine which model provided the best buying control and allowed Facebook’s algorithm to learn most effectively under expensive Tier-1 traffic conditions.

N1 Partners’ involvement extended beyond simply providing offers and slots.

N1 Partners comment: In addition to recommendations regarding top slots and audience specifics, it was important for us to evaluate how partner traffic interacted with different brands. Therefore, from the very beginning, we established profitability benchmarks and KPIs that became our key reference points after the first tests.

One of the main characteristics of Tier-1 Facebook traffic was its inconsistency even within high-quality traffic segments. Because of this, campaigns could not be evaluated too early — the algorithm needed sufficient time to accumulate data.

This later became one of the key factors behind the campaign’s success.

RAZE Strategy Analysis

At launch, the RAZE team tested 10 slots from N1 Partners. The slots were analyzed through spy tools to determine which creatives were running and which approaches were currently trending.

After evaluating the feasibility of each approach, the team selected 2 slots and developed custom creatives based on identified patterns.

However, initial tests revealed that most hypotheses were not economically viable.

Only two slots from the N1 Bet brand remained profitable:

  • Gates of Olympus 1000
  • Coin Volcano

 

Examples of Coin Volcano creatives that were used

Approaches That Worked and Why

The Coin Volcano funnel delivered the best results in terms of the traffic-to-FTD conversion path.

N1 Partners comment: From the N1 product side, this performance was further supported by the funnel structure itself: users were sequentially presented with a welcome bonus, available payment methods, and the most popular games for their region.

On the N1 Partners side, the team evaluated not only the final number of deposits but also the efficiency of the entire funnel. Average campaign performance reached 39.83% for Click-to-Registration (Click2Reg) and 37.99% for Registration-to-Deposit (Reg2Dep). This made it possible to identify specific buyer–creative–product combinations with strong potential for further scaling.

As a result, users understood the offer faster and the overall setup became more cohesive. This is especially important in Tier-1 GEOs, where the cost of mistakes at every stage is significantly higher.

      

PWA and landing page design featuring the advertiser’s bonus offer

N1 Partners comment: One of the key success factors was a properly structured funnel. The landing page focused exclusively on essential information and guided users through a clear post-registration flow: a welcome bonus as the primary hook, payment methods, top regional games, and continued interaction with the product.

Additionally, the N1 Partners team continuously monitored page loading speed and technical landing page performance to minimise traffic losses before registration.

Creatives and Approaches

During testing, the team experimented with several approaches:

  • video creatives
  • reaction-style scenarios
  • offline casino aesthetics
  • classic static ads

However, nearly all complex approaches underperformed compared to simple static creatives.

The best-performing setups were the most straightforward combinations: slot + bonus + winnings + clear CTA.

Static creatives offered lower installation costs, enabling faster offer changes, slot rotation, and testing of new angles without rebuilding production assets from scratch. As a result, most of the budget was ultimately shifted toward static creatives.

Scaling and Optimization

Initially, the team tested three acquisition models simultaneously: Auto Bid, Min CPA Cap, and Max Bid. The primary focus was not only deposit cost but also FTD quality, which meant decisions were made only after collecting sufficient data.

Working Approaches

    • Min CPA Cap + aggressive scaling.
      Once a stable CPA was achieved, budgets were increased aggressively, reaching approximately $10K in some cases. This allowed the team to capture volume while maintaining ROI.
  • GEO segmentation.
    English-speaking provinces with lower CPMs delivered the strongest performance.
  • Time-based optimisation.
    Most conversions occurred during evenings and weekends, so budgets were allocated more aggressively during those periods.
  • Delayed campaign evaluation.
    Traffic quality improved after 30-40 deposits, so campaigns were not shut down prematurely. N1 Partners analytics played a major role here.
    The product team analysed performance by individual buyers and setups, allowing them to assess traffic quality more deeply than standard CPA or initial deposit metrics and provide timely recommendations regarding scaling or stopping campaigns.
N1 Partners comment: Across numerous tests, we observed that campaigns generating 40+ FDs were significantly more likely to deliver stable profitability. Prematurely stopping campaigns with limited volume often resulted in shutting down potentially strong setups before the algorithm had fully learned.

At the same time, aggressive scaling only worked for proven setups. Increasing budgets too early caused CPM and CPA to rise faster than the volume of quality deposits.

N1 Partners comment: Before launch, we established the following profitability benchmarks:

  • Week 1 → >30% DepSum/Payout
  • Week 2 → >45%
  • Week 3 → >50–55%
  • Week 4 → >65–70%

Average deposit count: from 2.2.

Players with only one deposit: no more than 70%.

This enabled us, as the advertiser, to receive traffic of the required quality while allowing the partner to maintain profitability during scaling.

Where Profit Was Lost

  • Only 2 out of 10 tested slots remained profitable, meaning part of the budget was spent on ineffective tests.
  • Video and reaction-based approaches lost to simple static creatives featuring slots and bonuses.
  • Premature scaling of weak ad sets increased CPM and CPA without improving FTD quality.
  • Some campaigns were stopped before Facebook had enough time to complete its learning phase.

Campaign Results

Over 18 days, the team achieved:

  • FTD Volume: ~300 deposits
  • Traffic: 2,659 installs
  • CTR: 0.9–1%
  • CPC: $2.5–4
  • CPA: $140–156
  • Best Optimization Model: Min CPA Cap + aggressive budget scaling

Positive ROI was achieved as early as the third day of traffic acquisition.

After the first 30 deposits, the team stabilized at approximately 30 daily FTDs and, on some days, reached up to 50 deposits despite account bans and market turbulence.


Ad Account #1


Ad Account #2

Day 1 of Ad Campaign

Day 3 of Ad Campaign

One of the key success factors from the N1 Partners side was the continuous feedback exchange between the media-buying and product teams.

N1 Partners comment: Simply acquiring players is not enough. For long-term cooperation, traffic profitability must work for both the advertiser and the buying team. Regular feedback and in-depth traffic analysis by buyer and setup enabled us to quickly determine which campaigns truly deserved scaling.

Case Takeaways

The RAZE × N1 Partners case once again proved that in Tier-1 markets, finding a strong creative or a winning slot alone is no longer enough.

Success comes only when several factors work together:

  • strong Facebook media buying;
  • deep traffic quality analytics;
  • an effective product funnel;
  • continuous data exchange between partner and advertiser;
  • scaling only validated setups.
N1 Partners comment: Even before launch, both teams established unified traffic quality criteria and scaling benchmarks. This approach accelerated decision-making, eliminated subjective evaluations, and helped focus on setups that were profitable for both parties.

FAQ: RAZE x N1 Partners Case Study

1. What was the main insight of the campaign?

The main insight was that in Tier-1 GEOs, you cannot rely solely on creatives or bidding. Canadian traffic is expensive, and if your funnel fails to meet user expectations, you start losing money.

We succeeded through a comprehensive approach: we took top-performing slots from the advertiser, validated them using spy tools, filtered out weak hypotheses through testing, built a custom funnel around a specific slot, and only then began scaling.

Ultimately, we realised that the right funnel can be just as important as the creative itself. It directly impacts FTD quality and overall profitability. “— Artem Mayskiy, Team Lead at Media Buying, RAZE.

2. What surprised you during launch?

What surprised us was how traffic quality improved with scale. Initial deposits do not always provide an objective picture: campaigns may appear unstable, CPA fluctuates, and at that point the temptation to stop everything is very strong.

However, traffic quality turned out to be better than expected. After 30-40 deposits, it became clear that the algorithm was finding the right audience much more effectively. That was a very important signal for us.” — Artem Mayskiy, Team Lead at Media Buying, RAZE.

3. What is scalable from this campaign and what is not?

From the advertiser’s perspective, it is crucial to monitor profitability benchmarks and quickly disable underperforming traffic. Before launch, we agreed with our partner on minimum acceptable traffic thresholds and adhered to them.

The percentage of players making only a single deposit (without repeats) could not exceed 70%. By strictly following these metrics during testing, we received traffic of the quality we required as an advertiser, while the partner maintained profitability.” — Alexey Gusarov, Team Lead of Affiliates, N1 Partners.

4. One piece of advice for affiliates and the market.

Don’t stop campaigns too early. Keep driving installs and determine your acceptable deposit and install costs. This allows you to evaluate any funnel objectively and make informed decisions rather than guessing. It’s also important not to spread yourself too thin.

We tested 10 slots, but only 2 remained in active use. Growth started when we stopped distributing budget across numerous hypotheses and focused on setups that had already demonstrated proven audience interest.

It’s better to fully optimise one working funnel than to superficially test ten.” — Artem Mayskiy, Team Lead at Media Buying, RAZE.

It’s important not only to monitor your own metrics as an advertiser but also to understand your partner’s needs.

Everyone talks about win-win relationships between advertisers and media-buying teams, but in practice, this only works when both sides genuinely understand each other’s objectives and make decisions based on overall traffic economics rather than isolated metrics.

This approach is exactly what allowed the team to become profitable by the third day and maintain stable volume in one of the market’s most expensive GEOs.”Alexey Gusarov, Team Lead of Affiliates, N1 Partners.

Subscribe to the RAZE team on Telegram, where they share fresh case studies, campaign results, proven setups, and scaling insights based on real-world experience rather than theory.

Work with N1 Partners and scale gambling traffic alongside a team that helps build long-term profitable setups:

  • 14+ casino and sportsbook brands with strong Reg2Dep performance
  • 10+ Tier-1 GEOs
  • CPA up to €700 and RevShare up to 55% + NNCO for top partners

Be Number One with N1!

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FB Success Story +155% FTD, 135% ROI

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Following Meta’s algorithm updates, many media buying teams found it much more difficult to scale Facebook traffic. Customer acquisition costs increased, advertising accounts became less stable, and even successful campaign combinations lost their effectiveness faster.

In the new Success Story, N1 Partners explains how they helped a media buying team specializing in Facebook traffic for the iGaming vertical adapt to changing market conditions and successfully scale traffic acquisition across Tier-1 GEOs.

The results after nine months of collaboration were impressive: a 155% increase in FTDs, 135% ROI, and a 22% reduction in average CPA.

About partner

The featured partner is a media buying team with four years of experience in affiliate marketing, specializing in Facebook traffic acquisition for iGaming products.

At the beginning of the partnership, the team was already working with Tier-1 GEOs, including Canada, Germany, New Zealand, and Australia. They consistently identified profitable campaign combinations but encountered the typical scaling limitations faced by many teams in the industry.

To continue growing, they needed a partner offering high-quality products with strong Reg2Dep and LTV performance, reliable payouts, and responsive support capable of handling increasing traffic volumes.

Why did they choose N1 Partners?

Several factors influenced their decision:

  • High Reg2Dep rates;
  • Strong player LTV performance;
  • Reliable and consistent payouts;
  • Fast and responsive affiliate manager support;
  • The ability to work with multiple brands within a single ecosystem.

For the initial testing phase, the team selected N1 Bet, RollXO, Lucky Hunter, and Retro Bet.

“Working with several brands at the same time gave the team much greater flexibility. Whenever one product started losing performance, we could quickly redirect traffic to another brand without interrupting our buying activity,” explained Polina Bogatko, Affiliate Manager N1 Partners.

Preparing for launch

Before launching the campaigns, N1 Partners specialists analyzed the partner’s previous performance and proposed a structured testing plan.

Instead of focusing on a single offer, they decided to test multiple brands simultaneously. This approach allowed them to identify much faster which products performed best with Facebook traffic in each GEO.

At the start, the partner also received several recommendations:

  • Start with the CPA payment model;
  • Separate advertising campaigns by audience type;
  • Build dedicated landing pages for each GEO instead of using one universal funnel;
  • Test broad audiences without narrow interest-based targeting;
  • Use multiple creative formats;
  • Evaluate not only registration costs but also the quality of acquired players.

This strategy helped identify promising campaign combinations early while preventing unnecessary spending on underperforming campaigns.

Choosing GEOs, offers and creatives

N1 Partners affiliate manager shared internal performance data highlighting products that consistently delivered strong results with Facebook traffic.

For the first stage, three high-potential GEOs with stable demand were selected:

  • Canada;
  • Germany;
  • New Zealand.

Australia was intentionally excluded from the initial testing phase to concentrate the available budget on fewer markets and collect meaningful data more quickly.

Offers were selected primarily based on two key metrics: deposit conversion rate and player quality. Among all available brands, the selected products consistently demonstrated the strongest overall performance.

For every GEO, the team created special creatives featuring localized visual elements and market-specific bonus offers.

Workflow organization

After launch, specialists from N1 Partners worked alongside the partner on a daily basis, analyzing campaign performance and deciding on the next optimization steps.

“Regular data sharing allowed us to detect changes almost immediately. We didn’t wait until the end of the week, we adjusted offers, budgets, and creatives as soon as we saw a consistent performance signal,” noted Polina Bogatko, Affiliate Manager N1 Partners.

Teams closely monitored:

  • Reg2Dep and LTV;
  • Player quality;
  • Budget allocation between products;
  • Individual GEO performance;
  • Results of newly launched creatives.

Most operational questions were resolved by the affiliate manager within a few hours. This allowed the partner to quickly switch offers and launch additional tests without interrupting traffic acquisition.

Initial hypotheses

During the preparation phase, N1 Partners suggested testing several working hypotheses:

  • Video creatives could outperform static banners;
  • Different advertising concepts might attract audiences of different quality;
  • Rapid budget increases could reduce campaign stability;
  • Evaluating traffic solely based on acquisition cost does not reflect its actual value.

The team tested lifestyle creatives, game-focused concepts, bonus offers, and social proof elements. Budgets were increased gradually, while campaign performance was evaluated not only by CPA but also by player behavior after making their first deposit.

“The ability to compare several brands simultaneously played a crucial role. Whenever statistics indicated a decline in traffic quality, we suggested another product or reallocated the budget. This helped maintain acquisition momentum without relying on a single offer,” commented Polina Bogatko, Affiliate Manager N1 Partners.

Strategy and optimization

After the initial testing phase, the team focused on increasing traffic volumes without compromising player quality.

To achieve this, the partner:

  • Duplicated the highest-performing campaigns;
  • Regularly launched new creatives;
  • Split campaigns by device type;
  • Applied successful approaches to markets with similar audience characteristics.

At the same time, budgets were increased gradually, helping maintain campaign stability while keeping CPA within the target range.

What delivered the best results?

Four optimization strategies produced the strongest performance improvements:

  • Creative localization;
  • Continuous production of fresh advertising materials;
  • Pausing underperforming campaign combinations within the first 48 hours;
  • Optimizing based on player quality rather than CPA alone.

At one stage of the campaign, the affiliate manager noticed that one of the brands was achieving a significantly higher Reg2Dep rate from Facebook traffic in Canada.

After jointly reviewing the data, part of the advertising budget was shifted toward that product.

“The decision was based on more than just the number of deposits. We also evaluated player LTV and repeated activity. After reallocating the budget, profitability increased, and further scaling became much more stable,” said Polina Bogatko, Affiliate Manager N1 Partners.

Results

After nine months of collaboration, every key performance indicator improved significantly.

  • Monthly FTDs increased from 450 to 1,150 (+155%);
  • ROI increased from 86% to 135%;
  • Average CPA decreased by 22%;
  • Revenue increased by approximately 2.5 times;
  • Player LTV increased by 25%.

The most important achievement was not a single successful campaign but the creation of a sustainable Facebook traffic acquisition model. The partner was able to continuously scale traffic across Tier-1 GEOs without experiencing a proportional increase in acquisition costs.

Key takeaways

  1. What was the biggest advantage of working with N1 Partners?

According to the media buying team, working with N1 Partners helped establish a clear and scalable traffic acquisition process.

The main contributing factors were high-quality products, strong Reg2Dep performance, and constant communication with the affiliate manager. The team also emphasized that N1 Partners specialists proactively suggested new testing hypotheses before market changes began noticeably affecting campaign performance. This allowed them to stay ahead of industry trends instead of reacting only after performance had already declined.

  1. What made the results possible?

Polina Bogatko, Affiliate Manager N1 Partners: “The biggest factor behind our success was the partner’s willingness to continuously test new approaches. We evaluated not only Facebook campaign metrics but also player quality for every brand and GEO. This enabled us to redistribute budgets quickly and focus on the most promising campaign combinations.

After launching localized creatives and testing new audiences, the number of FTDs in Canada nearly doubled within just a few weeks, while campaign ROI remained stable. This clearly demonstrated the importance of continuous testing, fast analytics, and close collaboration between both teams”.

Scale your Facebook traffic with N1 Partners!

N1 Partners gives affiliates access to:

  • 14+ casino and betting brands with high Reg2Dep 
  • 10+ Tier-1 GEOs
  • CPA up to €700 and RevShare up to 55% + NNCO for top partners

Be number one with N1!

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N1 Sport Promo Wrap-Up: Results & Insights

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Together with the FIFA World Cup, N1 Sport Promo, a six-week campaign for partners working with sports and Prediction Markets traffic, has come to an end. Throughout the promotion, participants received increased payouts based on the volume of acquired FTDs.

N1 Partners experts reviewed the campaign results, analyzed the performance, and highlighted the key takeaways: which traffic sources delivered the best results, how audience behavior evolved, and which strategies can help affiliates achieve stronger performance with sports campaigns.

N1 Sport Promo In Numbers

  • Duration: June 10 – July 20
  • Top 3 GEOs: CA, DE, AU
  • Top traffic sources: SEO, ASO, Facebook
  • Best-converting brand: N1 Bet
  • Brands participating in the promotion: N1 Bet, Lucky Hunter, RollXO

3 Key Campaign Takeaways

  1. Which traffic sources and approaches performed best?
    The most effective traffic sources were those that allowed affiliates to quickly adapt to the sports agenda. 

SEO performed well with users already interested in specific matches, Facebook made it possible to rapidly scale campaigns around trending sporting events, while ASO helped attract more users during periods of high demand for apps.

Match- and tournament-specific creatives delivered the strongest results, said Daria Smirnova, Affiliate Team Lead, N1 Partners.

  1. What were the most common mistakes affiliates made?
    “The biggest issues were weak alignment with current sporting events and generic creatives use instead of materials tailored to specific matches. The faster affiliates update their content during major tournaments, the more effectively they can capitalize on peak demand,” commented Daria Smirnova, Affiliate Team Lead, N1 Partners.
  2. What should affiliates keep in mind when preparing for major sporting events?
    “It is essential to prepare for major tournaments in advance. Keep track of key matches, plan your creatives ahead of time, and update your content promptly. An event-driven approach helps scale betting traffic more effectively,” said Daria Smirnova, Affiliate Team Lead, N1 Partners.

Product Analytics

In addition to summarizing the results of N1 Sport Promo, the N1 Partners product team analyzed player behavior during the FIFA World Cup 2026 to identify the key factors influencing player engagement.

As the tournament progressed toward the knockout stage, user activity steadily increased. The decisive matches attracted greater attention, drove higher betting volumes, and increased the share of live betting. Players were more likely to follow matches in real time and placed bets more actively as the games unfolded.

  • Spain vs Argentina final delivered peak player activity. Fans were almost equally divided between the two teams, which helped maintain high engagement throughout the entire match.
  • France vs Spain and England vs Argentina semi-finals were among the most discussed matches of the tournament. They ranked among the leaders in terms of audience response and the number of live bets placed.
  • The average bet size during the semi-final matches was approximately 30% higher than during the group stage. This demonstrates that the tournament’s key matches encouraged significantly more active player participation.
  • Match scheduling also had a noticeable impact on performance. Games held at convenient times for players attracted more users than some of the late-night matches during the group stage.

Monetization and Retention After the Tournament

The end of a major tournament is not the end of the opportunity.

To preserve the value of the acquired audience after the tournament, N1 Partners recommends:

  • Continue engaging users after the tournament ends.
    Maintain communication with players who may switch to other sporting events and continue their betting activity.
  • Prepare the next entry points in advance.
    Build acquisition funnels for upcoming tournaments and championships to retain the traffic you have already received.
  • Use cross-promotion and refresh your offers.
    Expand user engagement opportunities by combining sports and Prediction Markets traffic.
  • Focus on long-term player value.
    Work with players with a long-term perspective — not only generate FTDs during periods of peak demand but also maintain user activity after the tournament.

N1 Partners team would like to thank all partners for participating in the N1 Sport Promo. More campaigns and even more growth opportunities with N1 Partners are ahead — stay tuned for upcoming updates!

Reasons to work with N1 Partners:

  • 14+ casino and betting brands with high Reg2Dep 
  • 10+ Tier-1 GEOs
  • CPA up to €700 and RevShare up to 55% + NNCO for top partners

Be number one with N1!

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N1 Beyond the Insights: Facebook in July

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Every month, N1 Insights features N1 Partners experts sharing their perspective on the latest developments in the iGaming industry. But these insights are only part of the bigger picture. Behind every prediction lies market analysis, hands-on experience, and real-world cases that deserve a deeper discussion.

That’s why we’re launching N1 Beyond the Insights — a new series where N1 Partners experts take a closer look at the industry’s most important topics, share in-depth analysis, and explore the nuances that help affiliates make better traffic decisions.

In our first edition, we focus on Facebook: the seasonal shifts that typically occur in July, the metrics that matter most, and why evaluating campaign performance requires looking beyond surface-level results and analyzing the entire user journey.

False Signals: When a Drop in CTR and CR Doesn’t Mean Your Campaign Is Failing

In July, traditional advertising metrics can be misleading — even for experienced media buyers. One of the most common mistakes is treating a decline in CTR and CR as a clear sign that a campaign has burned out and should be turned off.

In reality, the cause is often a seasonal shift in user behaviour rather than the campaign itself. During the summer, people spend more time on mobile devices, travel more, and generally devote less attention to social media. They scroll through their feeds faster, which naturally leads to lower CTR and registration conversion rates, even when the campaign continues to attract high-quality traffic.

This is where many affiliates make costly mistakes. They see performance drop in their tracker, pause campaigns that are still delivering value, and start testing new creatives, spending additional budget to solve a problem that may not actually exist.

The N1 Partners Approach

In situations like these, the N1 Partners team avoids drawing conclusions based solely on the first signs of declining advertising metrics.

Instead, we look at the full picture by analysing:

  • user cohorts;
  • the time between registration and first deposit;
  • post-click user behaviour;
  • overall campaign profitability.

During the summer, it’s especially important to allow the entire conversion cycle to unfold before evaluating performance. A user may click on an ad during the day but only complete registration or make a first deposit later that evening or even over the weekend.

Our team also recommends adapting creatives to seasonal user behaviour. Shorter funnels, clear messaging, and offers built around fast or instant-play games tend to perform better during the summer, as they require less time and commitment from users who are often browsing on the go.

Night-Time Traffic: Why a Lower CPC Doesn’t Always Mean Higher ROI

Another seasonal trend in July is the shift in user activity patterns.

Across many Tier-1 markets, longer daylight hours and warmer weather change how people spend their time. Users are generally less active on social media during the day, with engagement gradually moving into the late evening and overnight hours.

Facebook adapts quickly to these behavioural changes, allocating more impressions during peak activity periods — typically between 10:00 PM and 3:00 AM local time.

For affiliates, this can initially look like an opportunity:

  • lower CPC;
  • higher traffic volume;
  • more registrations.

However, these metrics don’t necessarily translate into better campaign performance. A lower acquisition cost doesn’t automatically mean higher-quality traffic or stronger long-term profitability, which is why it’s important to evaluate the full conversion funnel rather than relying on CPC alone.

What the Ads Manager Shows What’s Actually Happening
Lower CPC Users are more likely to browse their feeds without taking action.
More Registrations A smaller share of users progresses to making a quality first deposit.
Higher traffic volume More registrations fail to convert into long-term revenue.

During late-night hours in Tier-1 markets, additional factors can affect deposit conversion:

  • users may reach their daily card spending limits;
  • banks often perform scheduled maintenance and security updates overnight;
  • declined payment rates tend to increase.

As a result, affiliates may see a high number of registrations while the conversion rate from registration to first deposit declines.

The N1 Partners Approach

At N1 Partners, we don’t recommend limiting campaigns to night-time hours through dayparting simply because CPC appears lower.

While daytime traffic is often more expensive, users acquired during the day and early evening are generally more likely to complete meaningful deposits and deliver stronger long-term value. Rather than optimizing for the lowest acquisition cost, we recommend evaluating traffic quality across the entire conversion funnel and optimizing for overall campaign profitability.

Metrics That Help You Spot Problems Before Your Competitors

Today, Facebook campaign analysis goes far beyond CTR, CPC, and registration volume. If a campaign continues to generate high-quality traffic while ROI starts to decline, the issue isn’t necessarily on Facebook’s side.

At N1 Partners, one of the earliest warning signs we monitor is payment infrastructure performance. Changes in payment metrics often reveal underlying issues before they become visible in overall campaign results.

The first metrics we analyze include:

Metric What It Indicates
Success Rate The share of successful payments compared to failed transactions.
Decline Rate Whether payment failures are increasing over time.
Reg-to-Dep How efficiently registrations convert into first-time depositors.
FTD First deposit

During the summer, banks in Tier-1 markets regularly update their payment gateways, adjust transaction limits, and introduce changes to payment processing. Even a 5–10% increase in the Decline Rate over a few hours can indicate an underlying technical issue.

Teams that focus solely on the number of first-time deposits often detect these problems too late. Monitoring Success Rate and Decline Rate allows affiliates to identify issues much earlier and adjust their campaigns before performance is significantly affected.

Why It’s Harder to Kill Underperforming Campaigns in July

During the summer, finding a new winning campaign is often easier than knowing when to stop running an existing one. Lower CPCs driven by reduced competition in Facebook’s ad auction can create the illusion that a temporary performance dip will eventually correct itself.

In reality, many affiliates fall into the trap of delayed conversions, attributing weaker results solely to seasonality. More often, the issue lies with the traffic itself rather than the product. During the summer, Tier-1 users respond differently to gambling creatives, while Facebook’s algorithms gradually optimize delivery toward less engaged audiences.

Instead of continuing to scale a declining campaign in the hope that retention will improve later, it’s usually more effective to pause underperforming setups early and reallocate budget to testing new angles and creatives that better match July’s seasonal demand.

Deep Localization: Which GEOs Need It Most?

These seasonal shifts are particularly noticeable in mature Tier-1 markets such as Germany, Austria, and Canada.

Users in these markets have been exposed to gambling advertising for years. They’ve seen countless welcome bonuses, promotional offers, and product concepts, making it much harder for generic campaigns to stand out. Simply increasing a welcome bonus is no longer a meaningful competitive advantage.

At N1 Partners, we take a broader product-driven approach that focuses on:

  • deep product localization;
  • personalized retention strategies;
  • VIP mechanics;
  • local payment methods;
  • a user experience tailored to the specifics of each market.

Summer also changes how users interact with products. People spend more time away from home, rely more heavily on mobile devices, and switch between content more quickly. At the same time, major sporting events remain a powerful driver of engagement. Products optimized for mobile, fast gameplay, and user journeys that naturally fit summer behaviour tend to deliver the strongest results.

At the same time, lower-cost traffic in Latin America and Asia can be misleading. High registration volumes don’t necessarily translate into strong profitability, especially when optimization focuses on installs or registrations rather than first-time deposits and long-term player value.

Why Brands Are Prioritizing Quality Over Volume

Over the past few months, brands have significantly changed the way they evaluate affiliate traffic. The focus has shifted from traffic volume to user quality and long-term value.

Today, affiliates are increasingly expected to provide transparent source-level reporting, full-funnel analytics, traffic segmentation, and insights into the quality of the acquired audience.

As a result, the best commercial terms are no longer reserved exclusively for the largest affiliates. 

According to N1 Partners, the key differentiators today are:

  • strong expertise in traffic analytics;
  • the ability to quickly identify changes in the registration-to-deposit conversion rate;
  • fast campaign optimization and decision-making;
  • stable LTV and healthy DepSum/Payout economics;
  • transparent communication between affiliates and affiliate managers.

This approach enables long-term partnerships and sustainable growth—even without continuously increasing traffic volumes.

Key Takeaway

Seasonality changes user behaviour, Facebook’s algorithms adjust traffic distribution, and traditional advertising metrics are no longer enough to evaluate campaign performance.

At N1 Partners, we recommend taking a full-funnel approach by looking beyond CTR, CPC, and registration volume. Instead, evaluate user cohorts, Success Rate, Decline Rate, deposit quality, and overall ROI to make more informed optimization decisions.

Work with N1 Partners and Turn Insights into Results

  • 14+ casino and sportsbook brands with strong Reg2Dep conversion
  • 10+ Tier-1 GEOs
  • CPA up to €700 and RevShare up to 55%, plus NNCO for top-performing affiliates

Be number one with N1!

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